Let me give you a scenario. The United States military has occupied Iraq and is trying to quash the Islamic insurgency. We find that Iran is providing weapons, vehicles and explosives to those Islamic rebels. Do you think the United States will see this as a cause belli to retaliate against Iran? You bet your ass Washington called this an act of war against the United States. George W. The Bush administration began funding and supporting terrorist groups in Iran, such as the MEK, and increased its condemnation of Iran as a terrorist state.
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So, why in a sane world would the United States and NATO think they can send advanced weapons to Ukraine for the purpose of killing the Russians. If we use the principle followed by the US in Iraq, Russia has every right to consider the US and NATO as supporters of terrorism. This is the “good for the geese” principle.
In today’s media events, the US and Germany announced that they will send tanks – M1 Abrams and Cheetah 2 respectively – to Ukraine. But those tanks aren’t coming anytime soon. The Germans may be able to deliver Cheetah 2s to Kiev by the end of March, but that doesn’t mean they’re ready for the battlefield. The US Army requires the tank’s prospective crew to undergo 22 weeks of training (ie five and a half months). Even with that training under one’s belt, a new tank crew needs at least two months of unit training to learn how to fight a tank in company (the US Army has 14 tanks in a company) and battalion (there are). 3 tank companies in a battalion).
There is no place in Ukraine where tank training can be done beyond the range of Russian missiles. This means that Ukrainian soldiers who are trained to operate these tanks will be away from Ukraine for at least six months. According to today’s announcement M1 Abrams and Leopard 2s will not be used in combat in Ukraine before next September unless they are manned by trained NATO soldiers.
Joe Biden insists this is purely a gesture to help Ukraine defend itself and is not a threat to Russia. What delusional nonsense!! Tell that to a Russian soldier or tanker facing off against a NATO supplied tank with a NATO tank team inside.
The Germans did not get the word that this was not a threat to Russia. German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbach said Europe was at war with Russia:
“But the most important thing is that we don’t play the blame game [in Europe] Because we are at war against Russia and not against each other. https://t.me/sonar_21/395
Baerbach’s declaration that “we are at war against Russia” gives Moscow legal justification under international law to attack tank training bases in Poland, Germany and the United States. I don’t believe Russia is going to do anything rash. They have time to plan and weigh options.
It’s really surprising that the United States and its NATO allies are so open about what they’re doing. Usually, when a country contemplates war or escalating war, it hides what it is doing until it launches an attack or operation. Ditto for fraud and feints. The NATO crowd abandons those principles and focuses more on playing the public relations game — pretending you’re doing something meaningful, like changing Ukraine’s strategic picture on the ground, for example. If bookies in Las Vegas or London are looking for a new bet to attract gamblers, they might want to offer a bet on how long an M1 Abrams or Cheetah 2 will last in Ukraine. I put my money in two days. what do you think
If we continue on this path, the moment will come when Russia decides to close its diplomatic missions in the United States and Europe. If that happens, the shooting war in Ukraine will spread to other countries. A terrifying prospect.
Brian Berletic provides an excellent discussion of this issue:
One final important point. The United States no longer has the capacity to produce more M1 Abrams tanks in any meaningful quantity:
The US Army plans to end production at the Lima Army Tank Plant in an effort to save nearly $1 billion from 2013 to 2016; It will be restarted in 2017 to upgrade the existing tanks. General Dynamics Land Systems (GDLS), which operates the factory, opposed the move, arguing that the suspension of operations would increase long-term costs and reduce flexibility. Specifically, GDLS estimated that it would cost $380 million to close the plant and $1.3 billion to restart production.. . . .
At the end of 2016, tank production and refurbishment had dropped to a rate of one per month with fewer than 100 workers on site. In 2017, the Trump administration ordered an increase in military production, including Abrams production and employment. In 2018, the army reportedly ordered 135 tanks to be re-built to the new standards, employing more than 500 workers and expected to rise to 1,000.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M1_Abrams